Preliminary Report  -  1996 Wheat TriaIs
 
 INTRODUCTION:
 
 The  following  is the preliminary variety trial information  for
 single  (1996)  and  multiple  year  (1994-1996)  comparisons  in
 Minnesota. Average yield data for newer varieties which were only
 grown  for  one  or two years have been adjusted mathematical  to
 allow  valid  comparisons. Two-year and especially one-year  data
 are  less  reliable  and  should  be  interpreted  with  caution.
 Similarly,  averages across multiple environments,  whether  they
 are  different years and/or locations, provide a better  estimate
 of mean performance. The least significant difference or LSD is a
 statistical  method  to  determine  whether  the  observed  yield
 differences  between  two  varieties  is  due  to  true,  genetic
 differences between the varieties or to interactions  with  other
 variables such as the presence of disease and difference in  soil
 fertility.  If the yield difference between two varieties  equals
 or exceeds the LSD value, the higher yielding was indeed superior
 in  yield.  If the difference was less, the yield difference  may
 have  been due to environmental interactions rather than  genetic
 differences, and we are unable to distinguish the better  of  the
 two. The 5% unit indicates that with 95% confidence, the observed
 difference  is indeed a true difference in performance.  Lowering
 this  confidence level will allow more varieties to be  different
 from each other, but increases the changes that false conclusions
 are drawn.
 
 SUMMARY:
 
 The  1996  season was just like 1995, different  from  the  norm.
 Delayed planting, repeated flooding, orange wheat blossom  midge,
 scab,  and drought all impacted the wheat crop. Similar to  1995,
 scab  was not present in production statewide, but rather limited
 to the northern tier counties. Yields in the southern part of the
 state  were  record breaking. The average yields of the  southern
 locations  (St.  Paul, Waseca and Lamberton) was 62  bushels  per
 acre  this  year. This compares to an average of 57  bushels  per
 acre in 1995 and a three-year average of 52 bushels per acre.  No
 data  was  collected  at the West Central Experiment  Station  in
 Morris this year. The northern locations (Crookston, Stephen, and
 Roseau)  averaged  49  bushels per acre in 1996  compared  to  43
 bushels per acre last year and a three-year average of 39 bushels
 per acre.
 
 Table  4  presents  the  average grain  yield  for  the  combined
 locations in the north, south, and the whole state for both  1996
 and  the  three-year  averages.  The  varieties  are  ranked   by
 maturity, not yield. In this year's yield trials, Nordic,  Verde,
 and Marshall were among the highest yielding varieties across the
 southern locations. All varieties yielding more than 59.9 bushels
 per  acre  are  within the first LSD 5% unit of 9.8  bushels  per
 acre.  Statistically meaning that we are unable to conclude  that
 any variety within this group has a higher yield potential.
 
 The  three-year average (1994- 1996) data shows Oxen, Hamer, Lars
 and  Russ as top yielders. Again, any variety yielding more  than
 56.6 bushels per acre is within the first LSD unit of 5.1 bushels
 per  acre,  indicating  that  statistically  we  are  unable   to
 distinguish  the  varieties for their yield  potential  from  one
 another.   Verde,  Hamer, Lars and Oxen were  the  top  producing
 varieties  across the northern locations this year.  Although  13
 varieties  yielded more than 50.7 bushels per acre  and  are  all
 within  the first LSD unit of 8 bushels per acre. Over the three-
 year   average  (1994-1996),  Lars  and  Norlander  are  on  top.
 Similarly  to  the single year data, 10 varieties  yielding  more
 than  45.3 bushels per acre are all within the first LSD unit  of
 4.5 bushels per acre.
 
 Certainly,  grain  yield is very important in  varietal  choices.
 However,  net return per acre in dollars is not simply a function
 of   bushels  but  also  of  what  management  inputs  (chemical,
 fertilizer,  machinery)  were  needed  to  realize  that   yield.
 Response   to   disease,  grain  quality,  and  other   agronomic
 characteristics  like  lodging  susceptibility  may  impact  your
 decision  as a function of your ability to manage these risks  or
 limiting factors which could affect your net return per acre.
 
 Varietal characteristics are presented in Table 5. All values are
 three-year averages (1994-1996) except for scab values which  are
 based  on 1995 and 1996 data. The foliar disease rating is  based
 on  data  from North Dakota State University trials.  The  foliar
 disease  rating is based on a complex of leaf diseases, including
 Septoria, tan spot, and bacterial diseases. The rating  does  not
 differentiate among these diseases. Therefore, the rating  should
 be  used  with  care  and  only with consideration  for  varietal
 selection in areas where these diseases historically have been  a
 problem or if the previous crop was either wheat or barley.
 
 The  varietal response to scab is presented as a severity  rating
 similar  to the rating for leaf and stem rust. The resistance  to
 spread in the head is presented in the severity rating and is one
 of  the  resistance mechanisms.  In addition, a second rating  is
 provided  to  characterize the ability of a variety  to  maintain
 sound,  plump  kernels despite disease symptoms. The  ability  to
 maintain   sound,  plump  kernels  is  a  second   component   to
 resistance.
 
 Variety  selection  for 1997 should again be  a  balance  between
 yield   potential,  disease  responses  and  quality  parameters.
 Pioneer 2375 still dominates the average because of its tolerance
 to  scab  but  has susceptibility to Septoria and tan  spot.   In
 addition,  problems with shattering, lodging and poor competition
 with  weeds  increase  as  the variety is  grown  further  north,
 especially north of US Highway 2.
 
 This  year  one  new  private and two new public  varieties  were
 released.   The  University of Minnesota  released  BacUp,  while
 South  Dakota  State  University released  Oxen.   Western  Plant
 Breeders  released Sharpshooter. Unfortunately, this variety  was
 not  included  in  the state yield trial.  AgriPro's  Gunner  was
 included in the yield trial but release was delayed to 1997.  Two
 varieties  from  the  Agriculture  Canada's  program  were   also
 included  in the results. AC Cora was tested for the second  year
 and AC Domain was tested for the first time.
 
 A  short  description  of  each of  the  new  entries,  including
 Sharpshooter, is provided below. Except for Gunner, which will be
 increased for certified seed in 1997, dealers should have  enough
 seed for at least 50,000 acres of each of these new varieties.
 
 NEW VARIETIES:
 
 1.   BacUp is an awned, very early maturing hard red spring wheat
 from the University of Minnesota with a low to intermediate yield
 potential.  BacUp segregates for plant height and is  susceptible
 to  lodging  and leaf disease, similar to Sharp but  better  than
 2375. BacUp is both resistant to leaf and stem rust. Insufficient
 data from NDSU was available to provide a reliable foliar disease
 rating.   BacUp is resistant to scab both for spread through  the
 head  or expressed in the severity rating as well as it's ability
 to  maintain sound, plump kernels as expressed in the  tolerance.
 BacUp  has  very  high test weight, and very high  grain  protein
 percentage, as much as 2.0 percentage points higher than Grandin.
 The milling and baking quality are excellent, similar to Grandin.
 BacUp is specialty use wheat. Do not plant BacUp on more than  15
 to  20% of your acreage. Use the high quality of BacUp to improve
 quality of other wheat through blending.
 
 2.   Oxen  is  an awned, medium early hard red spring wheat  from
 South  Dakota State University with a high yield potential and  a
 wide  area of adaptation.  Oxen is a semi-dwarf wheat with  short
 to  intermediate plant height and intermediate to low  resistance
 to  lodging,  similar  to Kulm but better  than  Sharp.  Oxen  is
 moderately  resistant to both leaf rust and stem  rust.  Oxen  is
 moderately resistant to scab, similar to Butte 86, but less  than
 2375.  Oxen has a medium test weight, similar to Russ and  Verde,
 and  a medium grain protein percentage, similar to 2375 or Hamer.
 The milling and baking quality are equal to Russ and 2375.
 
 3.   Sharpshooter  is a new release from Western  Plant  Breeders
 derived  from a cross of Sharp with a Chinese spring wheat,  used
 as  a  source  of resistance to scab.  According to its  breeder,
 Sharpshooter is very similar to Sharp in most agronomic, quality,
 and  disease response characteristics.  Sharpshooter differs from
 Sharp  in  its  response to scab.  Under heavy disease  pressure,
 Sharpshooter  can out yield Sharp while maintaining  better  seed
 quality.
 
 4.   Gunner  is  a  late maturing variety from Agri-Pro  with  an
 intermediate  to high yield potential.  Gunner is a tall  stature
 wheat  with  good  resistance to lodging,  similar  to  Marshall.
 Gunner  is moderately susceptible to leaf rust, but resistant  to
 stem  rust. Based on limited data, Gunner has good foliar disease
 resistance,  similar to Lars. Gunner is moderately  resistant  to
 moderately  susceptible to scab, similar to 2375,  and  maintains
 test  weight  and sound kernels as good or close to 2375.  Gunner
 has  high  grain protein percentage and medium high to high  test
 weight,  similar  to  Grandin.  Milling and  baking  quality  are
 medium to high, similar to Kulm.